Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.400219 2.778663 3.205998 3.725986 4.343897 5.057481 5.947957
2025-02-16 1.839496 2.333053 2.951535 3.791041 4.912419 6.375013 8.453903
2025-02-23 1.551281 2.088751 2.810354 3.865126 5.392979 7.565466 10.960913
2025-03-02 1.323434 1.866473 2.635913 3.828717 5.673306 8.489042 13.254844
2025-03-09 1.179713 1.731586 2.550975 3.888643 6.081539 9.651156 16.153833
2025-03-16 1.045060 1.586632 2.423352 3.851477 6.314728 10.558562 18.816970
2025-03-23 0.940048 1.471021 2.321266 3.832423 6.563574 11.524201 21.798954
2025-03-30 0.842877 1.354447 2.199905 3.757682 6.693890 12.289373 24.565605
2025-04-06 0.783523 1.292462 2.160294 3.817908 7.077522 13.601070 28.790763
2025-04-13 0.709747 1.196862 2.049744 3.729572 7.155460 14.309791 31.864069
2025-04-20 0.677316 1.169878 2.057564 3.865974 7.706260 16.117661 38.021316
2025-04-27 0.628434 1.107591 1.992472 3.847787 7.926981 17.239219 42.791148
2025-05-04 0.589818 1.067133 1.977117 3.958546 8.520310 19.527882 51.957610
2025-05-11 0.547027 1.015310 1.936333 4.018079 9.036187 21.842657 62.432636
2025-05-18 0.511717 0.973059 1.907787 4.097713 9.617518 24.502036 75.255643
2025-05-25 0.470263 0.913079 1.833605 4.058785 9.892014 26.411928 86.591689
2025-06-01 0.442034 0.876855 1.805026 4.122823 10.454204 29.341587 103.225842
2025-06-08 0.409160 0.826833 1.739153 4.083107 10.722857 31.470418 118.044998
2025-06-15 0.381219 0.784291 1.684582 4.062746 11.044551 33.890119 135.636697
2025-06-22 0.352391 0.736616 1.612053 3.982890 11.171767 35.705889 151.769629
2025-06-29 0.335091 0.713076 1.593803 4.047237 11.766146 39.419026 179.813686
2025-07-06 0.310471 0.670068 1.522950 3.952860 11.827575 41.170573 199.063321
2025-07-13 0.300686 0.660833 1.534806 4.098598 12.735490 46.636146 243.860812